Update on Tropical Storm KALMAEGI (Luis)

[constable8566]

Please see attached latest storm track in GDB format. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. RG members residing along the storm path should closely monitor the development of TS KALMAEGI (Luis). Stay safe always.

[constable8566]

Update as of 1700H (5pm), 13 Sep 2014

Tropical Storm KALMAEGI (Luis) has turned its course sharply over the past six hours. It is expected to move generally west-northwestward.

[constable8566]

Update on Tropical Storm KALMAEGI (Luis) as of 2300H (11pm)

Tropical Storm KALMAEGI (Luis) has intensified into a TYPHOON with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 150 kph. Attached is the latest storm path. Be safe out there.

[d1754]

Latest fro JMC

Wtpn31 pgtw 132100
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen pearl harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Typhoon 15w (kalmaegi) warning nr 013
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only
---
warning position:
131800z --- near 15.8n 125.8e
movement past six hours - 305 degrees at 11 kts
position accurate to within 040 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 045 nm northeast quadrant
045 nm southeast quadrant
045 nm southwest quadrant
045 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 110 nm northeast quadrant
120 nm southeast quadrant
120 nm southwest quadrant
110 nm northwest quadrant
repeat posit: 15.8n 125.8e
---
forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
140600z --- 16.8n 123.7e
max sustained winds - 085 kt, gusts 105 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 064 kt winds - 020 nm northeast quadrant
020 nm southeast quadrant
020 nm southwest quadrant
020 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 065 nm northeast quadrant
065 nm southeast quadrant
065 nm southwest quadrant
065 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 130 nm northeast quadrant
135 nm southeast quadrant
135 nm southwest quadrant
130 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 24 hr posit: 295 deg/ 13 kts
---
24 hrs, valid at:
141800z --- 17.8n 121.2e
max sustained winds - 075 kt, gusts 090 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 064 kt winds - 015 nm northeast quadrant
015 nm southeast quadrant
015 nm southwest quadrant
015 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 055 nm northeast quadrant
050 nm southeast quadrant
050 nm southwest quadrant
055 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 120 nm northeast quadrant
120 nm southeast quadrant
125 nm southwest quadrant
125 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 36 hr posit: 290 deg/ 14 kts
---
36 hrs, valid at:
150600z --- 18.8n 118.4e
max sustained winds - 070 kt, gusts 085 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 064 kt winds - 015 nm northeast quadrant
015 nm southeast quadrant
015 nm southwest quadrant
015 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 045 nm northeast quadrant
045 nm southeast quadrant
045 nm southwest quadrant
045 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 115 nm northeast quadrant
115 nm southeast quadrant
115 nm southwest quadrant
120 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 48 hr posit: 290 deg/ 14 kts
---
extended outlook:
48 hrs, valid at:
151800z --- 19.7n 115.5e
max sustained winds - 080 kt, gusts 100 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 064 kt winds - 025 nm northeast quadrant
025 nm southeast quadrant
025 nm southwest quadrant
025 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 050 kt winds - 055 nm northeast quadrant
055 nm southeast quadrant
055 nm southwest quadrant
055 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 125 nm northeast quadrant
125 nm southeast quadrant
125 nm southwest quadrant
130 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 72 hr posit: 290 deg/ 14 kts
---
72 hrs, valid at:
161800z --- 21.4n 109.6e
max sustained winds - 065 kt, gusts 080 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
radius of 050 kt winds - 040 nm northeast quadrant
040 nm southeast quadrant
040 nm southwest quadrant
040 nm northwest quadrant
radius of 034 kt winds - 110 nm northeast quadrant
105 nm southeast quadrant
105 nm southwest quadrant
115 nm northwest quadrant
vector to 96 hr posit: 285 deg/ 14 kts
---
long range outlook:
---
96 hrs, valid at:
171800z --- 22.7n 103.6e
max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
vector to 120 hr posit: 280 deg/ 13 kts
---
120 hrs, valid at:
181800z --- 23.5n 97.9e
max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
---
remarks:
132100z position near 16.0n 125.3e.
Typhoon 15w (kalmaegi), located approximately 287 nm east-
northeast of manila, philippines, has tracked northwestward at 11
knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height
at 131800z is 22 feet. Next warnings at 140300z, 140900z,
141500z and 142100z.//
nnnn

[constable8566]

Culture of Preparedness

Good post d1754.
Maybe we should continue this practice of posting any available data concerning natural disasters or geo-hazards. This continuous updates become our own small way of sharing information to the motoring community in particular and to the others in general. I have been espousing this "culture of preparedness" ever since I entered the service. And now that I'm retired, I still continue to advocate this culture whenever given an opportunity or a chance.
Attached is the latest (as of 5am, today) storm path.
-Job

[constable8566]

Update on Typhoon KALMAEGI (Luis) as 1700H (5pm), 14 Sep 2014

For info, Typhoon KALMAEGI (Luis) is forecast to accelerate West-Northwestward. Landfall over eastern Luzon is expected in the next six hours which will induce a short lived weakening trend as the rough terrain of Luzon disrupts the low level inflow. Attached is the latest storm path.