Update on Tropical Storm HAGUPIT

[constable8566]

Attached is the storm track of TS HAGUPIT. Although it has not entered Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) yet, it would be prudent to monitor this storm. It is a strong one with winds up to 100 knots and gusts up to 125 knots. PAGASA says it will enter PAR by Thursday afternoon to Friday morning. Hence, this post.

NB: This is not an official forecast.

[jayteecie]

I'm also monitoring this. Forecast seems headed towards eastern Visayas again, much like Haiyan track. Let's hope and pray it will curve acutely so it won't make landfall on our country.


Sent from my iPad 4 using Tapatalk

[constable8566]

Update on Typhoon HAGUPIT as 5am 3 Dec 2014

HAGUPIT has intensified to a Typhoon with maximum sustained winds of 95 knots (175.94 kph) and gustiness of 115 knots (212.98 kph). This typhoon is expected to gain Super Typhoon status within the next 72 hours. Attached is the storm track. As you can see from the track, the typhoon is again heading for the Eastern Visayas area.

NB: This should not be taken as official data.

[arvin555]

Jayteecie,

Unfortunately no chance of it curving northwards like most of our "habagat" typhoons, as we are now in the Amihan season up here in Luzon, which means the North East Monsoon winds will be pushing the typhoon down and thus like the last will just track west north west wards

Praying that it will lose strength before it comes in the country!

Our Kuyas and Ates in Visayas and Mindanao, please monitor closely. Actually we are not completely in the clear in Luzon either.

It's these late typhoons that are worse, because they hit places where typhoons aren't common, like the last one hit Palawan.

TTFN
Arvin

[jayteecie]

Yup, more of "suntok sa buwan" kinda miracle wish. Unfortunately, it's becoming more and more clear that it will hit Yolanda hit areas again. Let's be more prepared this time.


Sent from my iPad 4 using Tapatalk HD

[constable8566]

Update on Typhoon HAGUPIT as of 11pm 3 Dec 2014

Good evening Guys,

The attached storm track shows a promising development. Although the Northeast Monsoon will continue to impact the typhoon from going northward, a series of troughs passing across the West Philippine Seas will modify the movement of the typhoon. Hence, the upward movement as forecasted (Source: Naval Oceanography Portal). The Japan Meteorological Agency still predicts the typhoon to move west northwest and westward before making landfall.

Let's all pray hard that this typhoon will veer northward.

NB: This is not an official data.

[constable8566]

Landfall or not?

There is an interesting article on The Washington Post about the conflicting forecasts on Typhoon HAGUPIT. Here is the link http://http://www.washingtonpost.com...e-philippines/.

[constable8566]

Definite Landfall

According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (link http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-p...ngs/wp2214.gif) the typhoon will maintain a generally west to west-northwestward trajectory under the steering influence of the subtropical ridge (northeast monsoon/cold front). It will definitely make a landfall in the vicinity of Samar area on 7 Dec around 2am (same forecast by PAGASA).

From there, (and this is where it departs from the PAGASA forecast) JTWC expect the typhoon to shift slightly to the northwest and continue to weaken as it tracks along the Bicol Peninsula. In the link, the typhoon will pass Metro Manila on Tuesday, 9 Dec at 1200 nn with the closest point of approach at 3 nautical miles (5.556 kms) from Manila City. Although this is not the official forecast from PAGASA, let us nevertheless prepare for it.

NB: This is not an official data.

[constable8566]

Article/Blog at Weather Underground re Typhoon Hagupit

Sharing a blog by Dr. Jeff Masters. Here's the link: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Jef...?entrynum=2872

[jonatle]

Hagupit (Ruby) v Rammasun (Glenda)_0615Z

Hagupit (Ruby) v Rammasun (Glenda)_0615Z

Hagupit (Ruby) v Rammasun (Glenda)_0615Z.jpg

[constable8566]

Thank God Tropical Storm HAGUPIT has weakened considerably, from a Super Typhoon days before making landfall in Eastern Visayas to a Tropical Storm on its way out of Luzon landmass.

[arvin555]

Amen to that!
I was expecting at least the normal torrential rain flooding in our area, even that did not happen!

Thanks Constable for being first to warn us about the typhoon, seriously I didn't know about the threat until you posted it in RG.

There were conflicting forecasts while it was still outside PAR, making it difficult for people to determine if they should prepare or not.

TTFN
Arvin